Eric S. Raymond has basically stopped writing code by hand altogether. He consistently delivers high quality code without intervening to fix the LLM's output himself, much faster than he would have been able to alone. This is very bad news for camp 2 because it means one of three things:

1) he is extraordinarily lucky

2) he is extraordinary brilliant at manipulating LLMs

3) you really are "holding it wrong" and you are hobbling yourself with your failure to properly learn the tools

The first two seem rather unlikely.