We’ve seen this before when the mines and factories closed.
Some people will be able to reskill find new work and others won’t and will struggle. Entire communities may disappear or fall into poverty.
Some people will be able to reskill find new work and others won’t and will struggle. Entire communities may disappear or fall into poverty.
except that no one has been able to articulate what "new work" might emerge
and while yes, this happened before, it happened over decades, and more importantly, the new jobs were created as the old ones were being destroyed
neither of these conditions are happening this time around
so we have not "been there before"
I think it's worse than that. The frontier labs are purporting that there won't be any "new work" required in the future—starting with knowledge workers and then eventually snaking down into more manual labor jobs via robotics.
The irony is that these same labs are still hiring engineers to build the machinery they're so convinced will make engineers obsolete. It's so paradoxical it's not true.
The only true things are that AI is a bubble, the current technology is unsustainable given the amount of compute required, and LLMs are overhyped in what they can do well versus what they need to be closely supervised with.
I have a young son and I intend to teach him robotics as a hobby partly because it is where I believe the high-paying jobs will be in 20 years.