Canada Is Acting Increasingly Like the EU's 28th Member State
bloomberg.com
bloomberg.com
I am betting the EU will extend the access to EEA to Canada, AU. NZ and possibly Korea and Japan. In all these cases, freedom of movement of people and goods would suffice and is much easier sell to citizens of all countries involved.
Although it's still hard to imagine Canada would align their standards to the EU instead of NA.
Not close, neither is in the foreseeable future, though the future is exceptionally foggy right now.
* at a minimum, I'd expect a reversal of Brexit needing both that polls show at least 2:1 in favour sustained for a year, and also that anti-EU parties like Reform weren't one of the top two polling parties
The Remain contingent is lost anyways. The other side of the electorate is turned off by their waffling. This would give them a cause to rally around and allow them to consolidate their electorate again.
With enough Brexit voters now either dead (they skewed old!) or having changed their mind, plus younger folks that weren't eligible to vote back then being very pro-EU, that might just do it.
The sad thing is that the relationship probably cannot be rebuilt anytime soon. It will take decades to restore trust that was damaged in a few short years. Canada is forced to diversify and build closer relationships with less volatile nations across the world. This is probably good for Canada in the long term.
More specifically, it's not a suicide pact: the UK is welcome to be asinine, and we're welcome to ignore it.
Might be a hard sell.
Also, Canada already has a land border with the EU, so this is just taking the next logical step.