the fact no one can actually describe these "new jobs" makes #2 appear increasingly more probable.
That’s why you can’t say how jobs can be created now.
AI proponents says 'jobs appeared in the past after X, therefor they will magically appear in the future after Y' ignoring the industrial revolution started in the late 1700s and the lifestyle they brag about it delivering didn't come along until the late 1940s/1950s.