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Comment by ck2 | Hacker News Reader

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ck2·

now imagine this going on through January 2029 if Dems don't win the Senate too

because it took YEARS for Obama's team to get them to sign something

and he's already used up half of US war stockpiles

Iran's dictators will eat and sleep just fine for years while their people starve and get bombed to death

click on YTD here and imagine that flat-line for YEARS

https://en.macromicro.me/charts/94482/imf-strait-of-hormuz-n...

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I would imagine that other powers of the world would support some kind of invasion if the strait were to remain closed for a long period of time

Or they finally tell Trump to fuck off as he as no tariff leverage any more as their economies are cooked anyway?

It is funny watching economies like Japan -- where their new prime minister was fluffing Trump like crazy -- get fully screwed.

They will just pay the toll.

It's possible, in the short term, but eventually the only oil flowing thru the Strait of Hormuz will be Iranian oil, and perhaps not even that. Give countries enough time and they'll rather invest in building a way around Iran than giving them money for passage thru international waters.

The toll will be just a bit under what it would cost to divert the supply.

Well even today you have the UAE and Qatar warning them not to do this. It’s likely to me that the fighting won’t stop until the situation is different, even if the US were to pull out today.

They might support it in spirit, but an actual invasion of the US would be pretty difficult to pull off.

I can see sanctions though, maybe a re-shuffling of alliances where China becomes the world's default Adult In The Room.

Given what has happened, I don't think Iran's dictators are going to be sleeping just fine for a while.

They have more dictators in store it seems.

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