In our case, the answer is not "hope and bash". We deploy versioned images, use health checks, monitor the result, and keep rollback simple: redeploy the previous known-good image/config. Host upgrades are also treated as maintenance events, with backups and a recovery path, not as something Compose magically solves.
But I think there is an opposite mistake too: assuming every production system should be operated like a high-scale tech company.
Many production workloads are boring, predictable, and business-critical. They do not need aggressive autoscaling, multi-node orchestration, or constant traffic-spike handling. They need reliable deploys, backups, monitoring, health checks, and a clear rollback path.
That is where Compose can be a good fit: simple operational model, understood failure modes, low moving parts.
Kubernetes becomes much more compelling when you actually need automated failover, rolling deploys, autoscaling, multi-node scheduling, and stronger deployment primitives.
Not needing Kubernetes is not necessarily denial, it is just choosing the complexity budget that matches the problem.