I am unfamiliar with working with such signal-to-noise ratios.

* I only had the example trades in the news as 100% confirmed positive trades.

* There are hundreds of millions of dollars in trades a day in Polymarket.

* In Polymarket you can just spin up a new account. If an account spins up, makes a $50k bet and wins, and then has no other activity, was that an insider trader or just someone with a behavioral pattern of spinning up new accounts? Just following up on these types of trades didn't provide a very big edge, as the nature of the trade adjusts the payout percentage.