GitHub is claiming they require 30x scale due to the giant increase in repository creation, PRs, commits, etc.
I have not seen a single product increase in features or quality as an end user, nor new significant products have come out in this period (other than the LLMs themselves).
Where is all this code going?
What I’m not seeing here but I am seeing with the Linux kernel is, most of the automatically submitted code is irrelevant or not useful
(Maybe that’s what you were getting at, apologies)
Yes, that was the intented meaning, sorry if it wasn't clear.
My point was that, if we can assume github's load is a decent proxy for global code generation, we're generating 30x without 30x results.
30x means that iOS could generate as many features as it has had since development in just a year. I don't think there is evidence of even 2x delivery in the industry.
Half of my friends is vibe-coding something but they can barely get the rest of the group chat to use it once.
In companies, I see people vibe-coding "miracle apps" that fall under the smallest amount of scrutiny.
Basically people are doing the same developers do when they say "I can do this in a weekend", which is getting a prototype sort of running and then immediately losing energy (or in this case lacking ability) to push it forward.
Some people I know can't even explain what they are trying to create.