It's not "western projection" to say that China _wants_ to get Taiwan at some point.

https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/cj94y87k2ljo

Given how the "peaceful" way failed in the last few decades, it's not insane to assume they might try a good old fashion invasion at some point.

From what I understand (as in "from what William Spaniel says"), given the weather constraints, it's something to look at closely every April and October. Seems like we're good for this April (which was not a given - attacking while the US is wasting ammunition in the Middle-East must surely have been tempting..)