We've been projecting both FTL and AGI as future possibilities for almost 100 years now. Do LLMs get us a lot closer to AGI? I think they get us a little closer and Moore's "law" making compute faster probably is a much bigger factor, but I think we're still a very very long ways away.
I think Douglas Hofstadter satisfactorily answered this question.
> We can't even answer if we have free will or not.
Sure we can, it's just that most people don't like the answer.
He didn't prove anything. It's a theory, just like many others: https://plato.stanford.edu/entries/consciousness-higher/
> Sure we can, it's just that most people don't like the answer.
Again, not proven
Don't mistake continued debate amongst "experts" as being a signal that something is unsettled.
Do recent actions of Open AI give you the impression of a company that believes it is about to attain AGI imminently?
Hell, all it matters to investors is not being left holding the bag in the end so they don't even need to believe it
I am not sure if OpenAI has that. Their edge regarding models is small, their strategy currently seems to be "buy ALL the hardware so nobody else can". Users can quite easily switch to other models.