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Comment by pixelpoet | Hacker News Reader

Good, because I was seriously considering returning to NZ out of fear of being drafted into a war.

The suspension doesn't change whether you get drafted or not, it just reduces peacetime bureaucracy at the expense of making a future draft more chaotic if it does happen.

The usual suspect would first need to cross Poland, not to mention finishing what they started in Ukraine.

I'll be scrolling HN from the trenches long before any army reaches Berlin.

> The usual suspect would first need to cross Poland, not to mention finishing what they started in Ukraine.

It doesn't look like they can break Ukraine anytime soon. And each month Ukraine bites back pushing the prospect of full-scale war with NATO (or what is left of it) even further.

Yes. Democratic collapse is the more real danger than direct Russian invasion of the EU countries.

Poland are in Nato, I'd expect europe wide deployment on an invasion. Itll definitely be volunteer forces at first, but I wouldn't hold my breath on conscripted forces never being deployed if it goes into a quagmire like ukraine.

If NATO still exists by then.

NATO would have to collapse before the midterms or the current POTUS' natural death - whichever came first.

I find that unlikely.

If Poland is attacked then Germany will deploy troops there. Whether NATO exists or not.

Which troops?

Really? I did expect nothing would happen. I though it was just a very old rule that was not enforced. Low low chance they could or would have enforced that.

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