When I tried to use it as an AI CEO and Life Coach, it never was able to discern time passing, what I've already done, what needed to be done. It just said the same stuff over and over, stuff I've already done. That and it's kind of stuck in the era it was trained in. If it felt time passing like a human maybe it would be conscious?

Nevertheless not having a sense of time makes it really bad at planning anything. I used Gemini Pro.

Sounds like Musk setting deadlines for Mars landings.

Can’t tell if you are being sarcastic but Altman’s whole job is to make bullshit near future predictions about rapid development of AI in the public.

There's no need to "estimate" it. "Time" is not something built into training and sampling a generative distribution. He might as well have told you your Naive Bayes email filters will measure time passed.

Taking the task at face value:

- 1 week to prototype: The tool + its accompanying JS sandbox + System prompt updates + context injection

- 11 months of public testing to go through i18n + a11y edge cases & fix them