The claim being made is that due to cascading decay of a secondary metabolite that does a lot of the work producing the clinical effect, caffeine elimination is a much more linear, slow process that only reaches half effect at around 10 hours and 1/4 effect at 17 hours, 1/8 effect at 23 hours.
Still decaf only. Has been a pretty positive change for me. Kicked the soda habit completely. Sleep is better. I find I’m even all day. I generally only get tired when I’m bored.
Maybe preground OK for non-espresso too?
In your example, a 200 mg caffeine intake in the morning, least to 100mg at noon, 50mg at 5PM, 25mg at 10PM. Yes that means you still have 25mg of caffeine. But it's unlikely to have an outcome you can measure since it's below a minimum threshold.
The literature for AASM protocols suggests 41 hours without caffeine is enough to safely control for those potential effects
In the new model, it's still smooth decay, but it's a compound exponential decay which is spread out over a longer time period, and close to linear for a while after that, before going on a longer exponential decline.