This whole war has already been a weird suicide ritual when it comes to American soft power.
I guess hard power is next.
The American Empire, burnt down by its own Nero/Caligula hybrid, while the population just watches it happen...
I guess hard power is next.
The American Empire, burnt down by its own Nero/Caligula hybrid, while the population just watches it happen...
It would seem that a bad person, elected to the highest office, surrounded by equally corrupt appointees, can do harm on a global scale. And all of it is home-grown. The entire population of deportees posed less of a threat then what the US has bestowed upon itself in one presidential term.
About 1/5 of America voted for this guy after seeing the trainwreck of his first admin.
At the same time, protests response is continually growing and breaking records as economic disparities and totalitarian responses intensify.
49.8% of voters voted for this.
A more accurate claim might be "More people voted for Trump in 2024 than any other candidate".
The only failing here is that America has decaying, hallowed out industrial base where it can't just cheaply mass produce and replenish hi-end rockets and tech to take care of business-as-usual quickly, because everything down to raw materials is just so expensive.
Top reserves by country, historical data on consumption (including by country).
These basic data points explain US foreign policy better than anything.
There is no data or trends that supports the notion that oil is becoming irrelevant, much less quickly.
US with it's current reserves and oil consumption rate would last roughly 12 years, btw.
Whether what's going to happen will be whatever it is you're imagining is completely different story entirely.
Needless to say, If you have a largely deindustrialized country you can't really make any sort of transition happen yourself anyway, not at the grand scale and speed necessary for this endeavour.
Expect fireworks.
> the world has roughly 47 years left at current consumption rate of oil.
This is contradictory?
Does that make those 47 years irrelevant - just because they will end?
There's no contradiction there. It just makes these last-remaining fossil fuels even more valuable.
Moreover oil use hasn't ramped down, nor is it getting replaced in any substantial way. I suspect people have no slightest clue just how reliant the modern world is on fossil fuels outside of it's use in cars.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Whale_oil#/media/File:US_Whale...
US farm horse population over time. Looked like it was gonna grow endlessly in the 1920s. It didn't because the whole thing became obsolete.
I think that applies most everything he does in a way.
If China is going in, we'll start to see large signs of that. They'll begin a number of prominent campaigns, including sabotage, propaganda, extremely large supply movements, and so on.
Yes, reading articles like this one, I suspect it's going to be the lack of firepower that causes this administration to finally back out of the conflict. And with these number it sounds like it might be sooner than later.
That's something the factions in the Middle East miss: sometimes great change comes from patiently applying pressure and infiltrating from within, rather than a frontal attack.
In what world could you imagine Israel's planned war against Iran not being automatically supported by whatever US party was in power?
You're also ignoring just how far outside the norms Trumps administration is. They're entirely dysfunctional, breaking all kinds of laws and full of unqualified extremist with their own agendas.
Is this how we debate now?