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Comment by SilverElfin | Hacker News Reader

Is this some kind of gift to domestic oil producers who are big donors to Trump and MAGA PACs? I saw the government just approved E15 ethanol mixed gas as an emergency measure. I feel like every decision and crisis is somehow used to corruptly build power and wealth for someone in the Trump sphere.

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It’s more likely that the US does not have a strategically viable path to open the Strait of Hormuz.

That is my read, some saner heads have communicated there is no way to win. So, just walk away and declare Mission Accomplished.

I honestly do see Trump just declaring he lost. "These Iranians put up a good fight and we weren't prepared." or something to that effect. He's been known to acknowledge defeat, like his complete 180 when Mamdani won.

Can we set up a bet on Polymarket or something? I'll take that action any day. He would have to phrase such an acknowledgement as an apology, and a Trump doesn't do that. Ever.

He didn't directly acknowledge defeat with Mamdani, at least not that I heard. It was more a case of populist game recognizing populist game.

> "These Iranians put up a good fight and we weren't prepared." or something to that effect.

Not an American but. There is no fucking way Trump will acknowledge that.

I would be shocked if he ever does that. Much more likely is just say something completely different and pretend that has always been the case

You may find this article interesting; as with all things trump, when he is actually involved in the goings-on of things (measured by his level of personal participatory activity) -- look for the money/grift.

[How Trump and the oil markets move in sync: A tango in five charts]

https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/cvgk8zk9epgo

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