Ariane 6 user's manual [pdf]
ariane.group
ariane.group
https://ntrs.nasa.gov/search?q=shuttle&page=%7B%22from%22:0,...
SpaceX launched more European payloads in 2025 than European launch providers did.
> the current policy is for maintaining launch capability for only a few satellites yearly
The current policy is for throwing employment money at Arianespace. It's the situation America would have been if we were still stuck with ULA.
TBH, Musk made his space market, but the only one capable of creating EuroSpace is Trump.
Today, probably not. When SpaceX announced "Falcon 5 and Falcon 9" as "the world’s first launch vehicles where all stages are designed for reuse" [1], the world was launching 55 payloads a year globally [2].
[1] https://web.archive.org/web/20080815163222/http://www.spacex...
Europe always knew they don't have enough launches, so they need to win other launches. Of course they have now adopted the solution of simply paying Amazon money so they launch on European rockets.
So not only is the rocket insanely expensive, they are so desperate to get launches they are paying the US to pull ahead even further in space, while Europe stays backwards while still spending lots of money.
This is literally a slow moving disaster of policy we have observed over the last 15 years (arguably longer).
No. Because it hasn't started.
> Right now doesn't seem like the time to make politically significant changes
If a world war had started, right now would be the only time. Historically speaking, the cultures that waited to enact change because of threat of conquest tended to get hit first, hardest and with the longest-lasting effects. (Granted, if someone's getting fucked in WWIII, it's going to be Europe and everything around China and Russia.)
Given the current instability, political changes should be a high priority.
It looks like the next generation will be reusable though, there are a few programs to that effect, both from established players and "new space" startups.
To the extent original Falcon 9 and earlier Chinese rockets were. It will be obsolete on release.
There are some research project and research, but it's not close.
As for startups, none of them have even a working small vehicle. And small launch is a horrible buissness model that basically every company runs away from as fast away as they can burn investor money. Most go bust.
Euroean startups are 10 years late and fight in a very small markets with lots of competition.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Ariane_Next
I'm not disputing the fact that the EU is behind the US and China, but again the EU budget is way below. Given the financial limitations ESA is actually quite capable.
So yes, there is research going on, and certain program to develop components.
But that is a very long way away from an actual concrete proposal to develop a real new rocket.
The Vinci engine for example started in the 90s and only flew first time with Ariane 6. So you could have said in 2002 'Ariane 6' is in development.
The question is when do the politicians get together and actually decide, lets spend 4+ billion$ (minimum) on a new rocket. And that is years away at best. And from that point on you would expect it to take minim 6 years, more likely 10 years.
Anybody that expect anything Ariane 7 like before 2035 is hopelessly optimistic. Not unless there is a major political shift.
> Given the financial limitations ESA is actually quite capable.
No its not. Ariane 6 development has cost more then the development of Falcon 9 + Falcon Heavy. And that's if you do not count development of Vinci, if you do not count most development of the static boosters and so on.
You can say 'we are so poor' and then spend 5-6 billion $ on a rocket that is not competitive with Falcon 9 as it existed in 2015 and then spend another couple billion $ on giving subsidies to all the users of Ariane 6.
Funding isn't the problem, efficiency and good choices is.
But don't hold your breath for any other major rocket in the next 10 years.