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Comment by the_cat_kittles | Hacker News Reader

i dont think its crazy to expect a big contraction in AI hype and funding. I dont understand how they will all be profitable when you can run a model on your own computer for free that will do 98% of what you need.

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I agree with you on most parts, but first, not everyone can actually run a model on your own computer that will do 98% of what you need - for most people it's rather around 40% of what you need, depending on the exact model and method of usage; and second, there's still these 2% remaining. And don't forget that not everyone (I mean, not every casual user) can do local inference just due to the lack of technical skills.

And by the way, who will produce this "model that you can run on your own computer"? Although, to be honest, right now in most cases that's not Meta or OpenAI anyway, even though they have some (outdated) open-weight models.

> I dont understand how they will all be profitable when you can run a model on your own computer for free that will do 98% of what you need.

For the same reason how movie companies are reaping record profits from streaming services - convenience and fearmongering.

"You wouldn't download an AI, would you?!" or "Think of children and elderly!" or satanism, or billions of other tricks they already employ to keep you docile.

Also, majority of people do not have hardware to run models that compete with LLM vendors, at this point I'm pretty sure majority of people don't even own a PC anymore.

> satanism

I haven't seen this one in the wild (while seeing others) LOL. How does this even work? I mean, like... "if you download the film/LLM you will summon a demon"? I honestly can't understand : )

Church.

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