It is unlikely that enough people would check their up/down vote history, vouch and flag history and even then some would assume they fat-fingered such things.
Such a UI could also save and upload username and password to another site. Some people use the same creds on multiple sites.
Seeing a sudden flood of new messages from low use accounts around elections or referendums is normal these days.
Companies, trolls, states etc have it way to easy now
So, no. Israel is not "winning the up- and downvote war" of HN.
There may well be a pro-Israel brigade going out of their way to move that along, but there is an equally rapid anti-Israel brigade. Nothing remains on the front page for long.
Posts that veer into overt anti-Semitic conspiracy theory get flagged because the mask slips too far and they reveal the game.