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But can it predict Ferrari’s Next Year (tm)?

Maybe easier and more urgently, predict if they should take advantage of a VSC to pit. HAM would have had a podium had he pitted and LEC not.

Never underestimate Ferrari strategy team's ability to snatch defeat from the jaws of victory.

Why would the team apply different strategies if it would not yield any extra points and would probably upset the lower finishing driver ?

We know that in hindsight, but at the time even Lewis asked why they didn't pit one driver.