CIA working to arm Kurdish forces to spark uprising in Iran, sources say
cnn.com
cnn.com
1. Go look at a topology map of Iran. You don't want to be conducting an offensive operation from Kurdish regions.
2. Other assets/revolutionaries in Iran were heavily repressed a month ago. If this was planned well you would sync them up.
3. USA sat back while Shaaraa strong armed Kurds into submission. Now comes back with Iran promises.
4. Anything involving Kurds, even in Iran, requires Erdogan to be onboard. I don't get the sense he has been paid off and he is likely the next target if Iran is gone.
Under E.O. 13224, any assets PJAK has under U.S. jurisdiction are frozen, and U.S. persons are prohibited from engaging in any transactions with PJAK.[]
[] https://web.archive.org/web/20230829135028/https://home.trea...too long didn't watch: Iran has a big fresh water supply issue. US and Israel will first target water supplies in upcoming attacks. US and Israel strategy will then switch to dividing Iran's different ethnicities and regions and arm them so they can fight each other for remaining dinimished water supply.
This seems highly unlikely.
> US and Israel strategy will then switch to dividing Iran's different ethnicities and regions and arm them so they can fight each other for remaining dinimished water supply.
I think the strategy will be to unite the different ethnic groups against the regime(which is also the primary cause of the water shortages due to gross negligence when it comes to water management).
By far the best outcome here for Israel is for Iran to be a stable and friendly country with a strong central government and normalized relations like they had prior to the revolution in Iran.
Just look at the countries surrounding Israel and which ones are causing Israel more security issues, the countries Israel has good relations with are countries like Egypt and Jordan with relatively strong central governments that have a vested interest in preventing regional instability, unstable countries with weak central governments like Lebanon and Syria on the other hand are far more problematic because you then get rouge groups like Hezbollah that cause problems for everyone.
"Following initial victories, the revolution was held back from continued success by internal divisions as well as a lack of anticipated American [...] support"
No self awareness in the slightest.