Ask HN: What will happen with Anthropics ultimatum?

As we are all aware, anthropic has it's ultimatum from the US government: drop their anti-killing TOS or else get in trouble this Friday.

I'm sure whatever happens it'll seem much more obvious that that's what was always going to happen, in hindsight, than it does now.

So as an experiment, I'm curious to hear from the hn community, in advance of Friday, what we think will happen.

Will they concede? Will they ignore and suffer the consequences (and what might those be)? Will we even find out or will it be shrouded in mystery for the foreseeable future?...

This is admittedly somewhat sensationalist so I'm not sure whether it fits with hn guidelines, but as one of the best places I know of for genuine online discussion, I think it would be interesting to hear reasoned predictions.