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2011 and 2012 have been watershed years. IBM watson, speech recognition using neural nets beating speech researchers, neural nets on imagenet beating computer vision researchers. The trend is that automated machine learning wins. You can be on the right side of history (automated machine learning) or take opposite side (and be wrong).

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I think we're on different pages of the same book. The current stuff is all well and good, but it's the Penn & Teller phase of AI/ML/GMs. We'll dispense with the façade of ability and instill actual ability eventually. I'm just not overly rah-rah about the recent incremental developments. I don't mean to overly pooh-pooh your rah-rah, but my brain is telling my fingers someone is wrong on the internet!

Yeah, that wrong someone is you. You'll have to eat your words within 5 years at the most.

I'll take that wager. I mean that literally--put your money where your mouth is.

Email's in my profile.

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