Are the people leveraging LLMs making more money while working the same number of hours?
Are the people leveraging LLMs working fewer hours while making the same amount of money?
If neither of these are true, then LLMs have not made your life better as a working programmer.
That is, if anyone uses it your life will be worse, but if you don't use it then your life will be even worse than those using it.
Too bad you programmers didn't unionize when you had the chance so you could fight this. Guess you'll have to pull yourself up by your bootstraps.
Until and unless there are some more significant improvements in how it works with regard to creating code, having strong "manual" programming skills is still paramount.
Nobody is getting a raise for using AI. So no.
>Are the people leveraging LLMs working fewer hours while making the same amount of money?
Early adopters maybe, as they offload some work to agents. As AI commodifies and is the baseline, that will invert, especially as companies shed people to have the remaining "multiply" their output with AI.
So the answer will be no and no.
(USSR National Anthem plays) But if you owned the means of production and kept the fruits of your labor, say as a founder or as a sole proprietor side hustle, then it's possible those productivity gains do translate into real time gains on your part.
--Theodore Roosevelt
Not even then: since it will commodify your field, and make any rando able to replicate it.
Yes.
Maybe that will happen for LLM programming as well, but I haven't seen many "vibe coder wanted" job ads yet that doesn't also require regular coding skills, so today LLM coding is just a supplementary skill its not a primary skill, so not like higher level languages since those let you skip a ton of steps.
Let's keep it civil.
> ow low you can pay your fungible organic units before they look for other opportunities or worse
This is what I meant? The more replace-able you are, the lowest you can be paid before you look for other opportunities. And, of course, yes, it is absolutely tilted against the individual.
Neither are the hours worked.
Nor is the money.
Just think of the security guard on site walking around, or someone who has a dozen monitors.
> Are the people leveraging LLMs working fewer hours while making the same amount of money?
Yes, absolutely. Mostly because being able to leverage LLMs effectively (which is not "vibe coding" and requires both knowing what you're doing and having at least some hunch of how the LLM is going to model your problem, whether it's been given the right data, directed properly, etc.) is a rare skill.