With all the social science research and strategy books that LLMs have read, they actually know a LOT about outcomes and dynamics in adversarial situations.
The author does have a point though that LLMs can’t learn these from their human-in-the-loop reinforcement (which is too controlled or simplified to be meaningful).
Also, I suspect the _word_ models of LLMs are not inherently the problem, they are just inefficient representations of world models.