SpaceX shifts priorities to Moon city instead of Mars colony
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we know people can exist and be productive in orbit for extended periods.
we know people can make it to the moon remain for a time, and perform tasks, then return.
energy generation, probably has to be nuclear, structures require low G engineering.
we know "robots" can make it to mars and function for extended periods. very probably, there are locations that provide apparent resources required for extended human occupancy, and feasibility of development must be established. energy generation may be wind turbine, or some type of triboelectric harvesting of electric discharges.
in both cases, its probably a good plan to pre emptively develop chattels of occupation. the idea of constructing self sufficient fabrication and launch facilities on the moon should be seriously examined.
My second guess would be sabatier machines, which are vital for Mars and pointless on the Moon, and where I've failed to notice even a hint of progress.
For the moon you still have the refueling problem but you don't need to ship nearly as much to make a moon presence sustainable. You're not constrained by launch windows and there will be multiple providers able to plug shortfalls in the coming decades (I'm not sure the same can be said about Mars).
set up a fake moon site, and develop moon materials construction automatons then send them up first, to establish a light industrial infrastructure.