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> The second group is one that thinks talking to a chatbot will replace senior developer

Once they realize that it doesn't replace senior but can easily replace junior, junior dev will have a bigger problem and the industry at large will have a huge problem in 8 years because the concept of "senior" would have vanished.

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Why would the concept of senior disappear in 8 years? I am a senior, and work with seniors that have been seniors for 20 years. In 8 years we will still be seniors.

My perspective is that each year a good chunk of senior dev leave the pure dev to go to management roles or something else and while they do that, they are replaced by junior morphing into senior.

I consider 8 years to be the real experience to be considered a senior dev.

If from now on, the amount of junior is drastically reduced, this will lead to a lack of senior in 8 years because the senior leaving should be the same proportion.

In a situation where they replace juniors with agents, yes, we'll still be senior, but just like people capable of setting a VHS recorder, our number will dwindle.

I understand. At my work nobody senior becomes a manager so I never had that perspective. Thanks for clarifying your thoughts for me.

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