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For prompts this elaborate I'm always keen on seeing proof that the author explored the simpler alternatives thoroughly, rather than guessing something complex, trying it, seeing it work and announcing it to the world.

> Think of the lengthy prompt as being like a safe combination

I can think all I want, but how do we know that this metaphore holds water? We can all do a rain dance, and sometimes it rains afterwords, but as long as we don't have evidence for a causal connection, it's just superstition.

It needs some evidence though? At least basic statistical analysis with correlation or χ2 hypotheses tests .

It is not “black art” or nothing there are plenty of tools to provide numerical analysis with high confidence intervals .