Yeah I agree entirely.
Current coding agents are not up to the task of producing a production-quality web browser.
I genuinely can't imagine a better example of a sophisticated software project than a browser. Chrome, Firefox and WebKit each represent a billion-plus dollars of engineering salaries paid out to expert developers over multiple decades.
Browsers have to deal with a bewildering array of specifications - and handle websites that don't conform fully to those specifications.
They have extreme performance targets.
They operate in the most hostile environment imaginable - executing arbitrary code from the web! - so security is diabolically difficult as well.
I expect there's not a human on earth who could single-handedly architect a production grade new browser, it requires too much specialist knowledge across too many different disciplines.
On the basis, I should reconsider my 2029 prediction. I was imagining something that looked like FastRender but maybe a little more advanced - working JavaScript, for example.
A much more interesting question is when we might see a production grade browser built mostly by coding agents.
I do think we could see that by 2029, but if we did it would be a very different shape from the FastRender project:
- a team of human experts driving the coding agents
- in development for at least a year
- built with the goal of "production ready Chrome competitor", not as a research project
The question then becomes who would fund such a thing - even a small team of experts doesn't come cheap, and I expect that LLM prices in 2029 will still measure in the tens or hundreds of thousands of dollars for this, if not more.
Hard for me to definitely predict that someone will step up to fund such a project - great open source browser engines exist already, why would someone fund one from scratch?