Hacker News Reader

Does not appear to be any bets on Polymarket of Kalshi. HN does not have a feature for this. Closest is poll. [1] Out of curiosity why do you think it will de-orbit? Or is the bet that SpaceX will not be able to get it up?

[1] - https://news.ycombinator.com/newpoll

I am not sure it is going to crash, considering the billions that MtGox clients invested into that project.

According to Wikipedia, it has a planned life span of just three years, so we won't have to wait much to find out. It won't be a proper crash, though.

I am curious what the odds are of it being in orbit for significantly longer than three years, given how far the lifetime of the ISS was extended beyond its initial decom date of 2015.

Is several an option?

#applauseguy