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I feel like we do generally brush, a little too easily, over the fact that economics is still a theoretical science, of which finance is subsequently the practical and technical implementation. Much like psychology, sometimes we turn out to be right about theories, sometimes we're not.

What else would you expect? If the person writing the advice knew how to reliably beat the market they would be doing that, not writing financial advice.

what unsupported gut-feeling conclusion would you prefer they reach for you?

Surely the issue here is all they've got is unsupported gut-feeling conclusions, not that I'm asking them to be useful?