Everyone Will Be a Programmer

Salesforce has made a ton of money doing pretty much exactly this.

The people who have been building Salesforce apps for the past 15 years or so do not generally have any software development training or background.

The only thing preventing end users YOLOing their own solutions now are the same things that prevent software engineers just shipping whatever they want: Business constraints. AI doesn’t magic any of this away.

Remember when the ease of writing HTML meant everyone could create websites. Didn't mean that everyone did though...

We stand on the brink of a fundamental shift in the software world. The concept of Software as a Service, which dominated the market for the past decade, is slowly beginning to falter. Not because of new competition or better alternatives - but because the very idea of paying for generic solutions is losing its meaning.

This was supposed to happen twice in the 1980s, first with "fourth gen" languages, and I forget what the other fad was called. Things like "business objects" were supposed to do this in the 2000s. I'll believe it when I see it.