There's also just the chaos angle. From the same New Yorker article I linked elsewhere in this thread, I thought this anecdote was nuts:
> In Los Angeles, for example, [in 1992] there was a situation where marines were accompanying police to a house where there was a domestic disturbance and the police officers said to “cover me” as they went into the house. “Cover” means something very different in the Marines, and they opened fire on the house. It was only by good fortune that no one was killed.
The administration has systematically removed leadership in both the military and the DoJ that aren't ideologues. Case in point: SOUTHCOM
Further, internal DoJ and military checks and balances have been eviscerated for the last 12 months. Specifically military lawyers and inspectors general that are concerned with lawful conduct.
Should we be optimistic that current law will be followed? Maybe. Does the existence of the law ensure it? Not at all.
Minnesota has no clue how serious a can of whoop-ass they're about to pry open.
> U.S forces responding to planned rallies and demonstrations, spontaneous crowds, and civil disturbances must follow the procedures best designed to deescalate crowd actions and to protect life, the rights and safety of the persons involved, and property.
We've already seen that it's extremely rare for even the national guard to support protesters in their own communities when being deployed against them
We've already seen that the military will willfully follow trump's unlawful orders, including clear violations of international law
Acting unlawfully and then falling back on "just following orders" is far less likely to have negative consequences for soldiers than refusing to follow unlawful orders would