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Comment by jandrese | Hacker News Reader

One of these times they will be right and you will never hear the end of the time they were first to recognize the start of a cyberattack.

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You know what they say about a stopped clock: it's wrong 1,438 times a day.

If it is a quartz watch, it might be 47,120,384 times per day.

better odds than the lottery!

Not if you're playing Florida Pick 4, which is supposed to be 1:10000, but for me seems 1:U+221E

When telcos get compromised again, the attackers should just take it down in service of this moronic fallacy.

https://www.wsj.com/politics/national-security/china-cyberat...

It works both ways, a lot of people also take the "nothing ever happens" position and it is true that most of the time "nothing ever happens", so by taking that position, they're right 99% of the time and sound smart

Yes, but the majority opinion is "nothing ever happens" by default for everything, not just tech outages. It's not about sounding smart, but getting ahead of grifters and clout chasers.

Yep I think it started as a reaction against "it's happening!" types and it is a lot less wrong, but it's still wrong.

The truth is things do occasionally happen and we should be prepared, even if most of the time they don't

Your post reflects another online observation. With the rise of online sports books, this sort of predictive doomerism has flooded almost every team's online comment section. It no longer feel like fandom or community in the same way. Just lots of voices that will be glad to say, "I told you so," in the loss and crickets with the W. Wish there was some accountability mechanism for all the negative noise broadcasted into the channel.

In general, whats the expected cost of being loudly, obviously, publicly and obnoxiously wrong?

Keep in mind who the President is.

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