Surely the extrapolation is wrong?
at 4 heads, just randomly select a jury of 3. and you're back on track.
at a million heads, just sum up all their guesses, divide by one million, and then check the over/under of 0.50
at 4 heads, just randomly select a jury of 3. and you're back on track.
at a million heads, just sum up all their guesses, divide by one million, and then check the over/under of 0.50
He wrote:
If our number N of friends is odd, our chances of guessing correctly don’t improve when we move to N+1 friends.