9/10 times the new manager is miserable and doesn't add anything to the employees' day to day aside from stressing about your next 1:1, and is then locked to that role for the duration.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Kobayashi_Maru
I've had the fortune to be able to steer my career back down to IC with no loss of income every time I have been pushed up into an EM role.
Only one data point, but I'm 100% happier as IC than EM.
But there are other players who likes to trade it for Money!
Thanks for sharing the Kobayashi Maru scenario though! Can use it as a fun simulation if someone fails all scenarios to make it light hearted yet meaningful.