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Comment by wartywhoa23 | Hacker News Reader

Would you please mind leaving some RAM to remain available for purchase at an affordable price for us mere mortals ? 1Tb for what, like, "Come on AI, make the humankind happy now"?

/"s"

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AI bubble will do wonders for used RAM prices when it pops.

There is no popping. We cannot have enough compute for the forseeable future.

Look at this guy on his first ram shortage.

I've been in this game so long, seen so many shortages that I'm not even worried. Right now prices are high, manufacturers are switching production, and in 6 months there's going to be a glut of supply.

It's all a long game, folks. Play it long.

Long game is fine for optional upgrades. “I really wish my game system had 20% better graphics”. Less good when your system crashes and you need something new to work on Monday.

> manufacturers are switching production

In what ways? The only switching I've seen is away from desktop memory.

You've answered the question! They're redirecting those chips to industrial use which makes desktop products more expensive and less available. Samsung is also extending DDR4 production, for example.

I thought you were listing a switch in production that would relieve the shortages after we wait a few months. Switching away from desktop memory makes the shortages worse. So why do you expect there to be a glut in 6 months?

If you meant glut of memory suitable for datacenter GPUs, I don't expect that nearly so soon. That market can absorb extra chips pretty easily unless we see a really harsh pop really soon.

The same chips go into desktops as servers, so this is just redirecting the chips to another assembly line. I think there's a good chance the memory market will see a huge boost in supply to server spaces, and some memory will switch back to desktop use.

It takes about a decade (and $10s of billions) to bring new fabs online

Back in the day when 1mb memory sticks ruled the earth there was apparently a memory shortage because some fab burned down or something. Any day now, they’ll fix their shit and ram will be dirt cheap. At least according to my high school buddy.

We have always had a ram shortage. We’ve also always been at war with eastasia.

I remember my first 64MB sticks doubled in price after I bought them, I was envied for like 6 months among my friends with their 32MB machines.

"The market can stay irrational longer than you can stay solvent"

I'm going to play Minecraft with such a ludicrous shader...

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