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I searched a little bit and found these numbers for t-shirts in a 20 foot container:

- Shipping container from China to the US: $3000-$9000 (tariffs?)

- Number of t-shirts per container: 35000

How much heavier are jeans than t-shirts? 10 times? That would mean an increase of $2.50 if container shipping costs double.

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I think the volume is what defines the cost for cargo shipping so your 10x is likely pessimistic. $2.50 is both significant relative to the price of one these jeans and not much compared to what has been the expected cost of a pair for decades.

It says more about how dirt cheap shipping is the single enabler of globalization, even doubling the cost may not be enough to significantly shorten the supply chains.

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