If Debt Is Funding Most Spending, Can We Still Call the Consumer "Strong"?
capitalfolly.com
capitalfolly.com
Unit volumes are declining
BNPL is growing in essential categories
Credit card rollover rates are rising
Savings buffers are shrinking
If the marginal dollar of “growth” is now debt-financed, is the metric still meaningful?
I’m curious how others see it. Is consumer spending still a valid indicator of economic strength, or should we be treating it as an obligation metric rather than a confidence metric?