Hans Moravec: When will computer hardware match the human brain? (1997)

A well-known or once-well-known article from what seems to me (I'm not an expert) to be roughly the beginning of the current wave of AI progress and optimism. This seems like an appropriate moment to think about it again, especially since Moravec predicted human-level AI for about now:

> This paper describes how the performance of AI machines tends to improve at the same pace that AI researchers get access to faster hardware. The processing power and memory capacity necessary to match general intellectual performance of the human brain are estimated. Based on extrapolation of past trends and on examination of technologies under development, it is predicted that the required hardware will be available in cheap machines in the 2020s.