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Comment by bill3389 | Hacker News Reader

It is not losing money, the whole industry haven't figured out how to generate revenue yet. it is the starting phase of LLM like we experienced in .com bubble. Is it a bubble at this point? Yes. Can it generate revenue in the future? Yes. Will openAI survive in this bubble? Maybe.

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It is quite literally losing money at an unsustainable rate. They need a path to profitability otherwise this is a massive boondoggle for all of the investors

Unfortunately “all of the investors” is in reality the whole world’s markets due to the disgusting top heavy nature of the SP500 currently.

I have been talking to AI a lot about what portfolios will survive that crash. :)

And what is the conclusion, what will survive?

Berkshire.

Stuff like this is what survived the lost decade after the tech bubble crash in 2000-

Gold, treasuries, small cap value.

https://portfoliocharts.com/2021/12/16/three-secret-ingredie...

I think I'll add in some Bitcoin to round it out. Bitcoin and gold seem to take turns going now and be inversely correlated often.

https://www.theblock.co/data/crypto-markets/prices/btc-pears...

we are still at early age. think it as human, the early age is burning money. when grow older, the ability of making money increases.

Compared with .com bubble. most .com dies, and the one who survived are GOOGLE, AMAZON, Tencent etc.

Yes but you need money to survive until the later stages

You seem to be complicating your thinking here.

They are spending more money than they are bringing in. This means they are losing money.

Yeah, financial bubble != useless technology. Maybe coding agents do cost $50 per month in the long term, but I might just pay that for entertainment and personal stuff. Like, I don't even try to vibe code my job, but in the evenings having a cool slop generator is good times.

Right now I use a Chinese vibe code plan, really good value.

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