33 Percent Of Google Users Will Use Bing More After ‘Bing It On’ Challenge
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Try doing the Bing It On search for something like "radiohead". You see two columns of plain old search results, both are fine. But if you go straight to Google.com and search for "radiohead", you get more than just the normal search results, you get a bunch of extra details on the right side of the page. Those extra details are super relevant and helpful, like the band's members, popular songs, upcoming events, etc. If you go to Bing.com and try the same thing, it also has some extra stuff on the right, but it isn't nearly as good.
This happens for lots of searches. Google often shows some really helpful domain-specific information, but that extra stuff doesn't show up in the Bing it On challenge.
If those statistics had been favorable, they would assuredly have been reported.
(Note: Bing's blog post http://www.bing.com/community/site_blogs/b/search/archive/20... does mention the 2-to-1 preference claim again, but that's from a previously commissioned study, not from the Bing It On Challenge.)
Look at it this way: how many of the people who visit the page are going to switch away from Bing to Google?
Probably not too many. So even if they just get lucky one in fifty times with a search on which bing does much better, that's a huge net positive for if lots of people try it out.
From the article: 33% said they would use Bing more often after taking the Challenge
Two very different statements IMO - how many of those 33% are ever actually going to think about it again rather than just reverting to their old habits?
That raises the point that optional feedback will gain 100% of those who migrate at the time and a far lower percentage of those who will not. So that 33%, well you can half that and half again and still be short on the number who tried it.
Now if that 33% was also backed up by access log saying we had 10,000 unique vistors to this experiment and 33% of those said they were using bing now then I'd be less sceptic.
You can also bet this 33% will get turned into 33.33 recuring % or 1/3rd and from there the lie will be complete.
I will switch to Bing if you enable SSL search.
I tried it for a few weeks w/o SSL and I liked it. Until then I will not use it, nor recommend it to anybody else.
I think it's going to take more than "The Pepsi Challenge" to get people to switch. To get people to switch Google would have to start giving worse results than it gives now. Otherwise you're likely not changing. Even if Bing gave better results I'm not sure people would switch due to inertia.
Google seems to have simply more pages indexed and that helps with obscure error messages or API usages, but seems to hinder it when searching for anything relatively common.
The two thoughts I had were: 1) Have the suggested examples been prescreened to favor Bing? 2) Do the Bing results favor a shallower explorations of topics while Google's favor more in depth ones?
I also doubt that 33% who say that are going to use it more actually will. If it was that easy Bing would already be huge.
For instance if you search a weird business name, Google tries to make it into more statistically and phonetically common words. Bing gives you more of a literal search. So they're going to wow a proportion of users who find that's what they want.
Google is so annoying sometimes with word-stemming. You used to be able to use the + sign to turn it off. Then you had to use quotes. Now the quotes don't even seem to work. Sometime Google is too smart for its own good.
http://www.wired.com/business/2011/11/google-verbatim-search...
Would save clicking around, and probably solve the use case for 90% of people.
I really think at this point that MS is just trying to outright buy market share with these elaborate campaigns.
At this point-barring some revolutionary new way to search-Microsoft might have to heavily invest in advertisements to gain any ground.
The thing is, in those 12 years, I've invested lots of data and time in Google. But be that as it may, I feel like I'm noticing a decline in the quality of Google search results. And there are rare occasions where I do give ol' Bing a few cranks to cover more bases.
The top 10 companies and the amount they spend on R&D
(in billions) in the past 12 months were, according to
S&P Capital IQ:
• Microsoft (MSFT): $9.4
• Pfizer (PFE): $8.4
• Intel (INTC): $8.4
• Merck (MRK): $8.3
• Johnson & Johnson (JNJ): $7.5
• International Business Machines (IBM): $6.3
• Cisco Systems (CSCO): $5.6
• Google (GOOG): $5.2
• Eli Lilly (LLY): $5.0
• Oracle (ORCL): $4.4
Apple is 18th on the list, spending $2.6 billion, behind other
technology giants such as Microsoft, Intel, IBM, Cisco, Oracle,
Qualcomm, Hewlett-Packard and Amazon.com. Apple's R&D spending
as a percentage of its revenue of $127.8 billion was 2%.
[1] http://usatoday30.usatoday.com/money/perfi/columnist/krantz/...It also says a lot about accounting, as how time is booked in an accounting system for tax purposes will drastically alter those numbers, even if the same work gets done.
"Apple's amazing success with low R&D expenditure shows how small the relationship between R&D and great products is."
Also, it's not my intention to make a comparison between Apple and MS here, but I think it's clear that MS spends a lot more because it has a broader set of products and services. Furthermore, you need to define "great product". Because what would seem to be great to consumers, may be totally useless to enterprises. And that is reflected today in the market.
And no-one ever accused Ford of making shoddy cars that fall apart the second they leave the floor... for many decades solid...
In fact, their $9B budget is $1.3B bigger than THE ENTIRE NATIONAL SCIENCE FOUNDATION. http://www.nsf.gov/about/budget/fy2013/
The problem is they are just bad at making good products.
Any reaction to Bing could have been a result of people being exposed to it for the first time not necessarily it being the “better” option. It also could be that people are having a positive impression simply because it’s not as bad as they imagined it would be, as indicated by this claim: “64% of people were surprised by the quality of Bing’s web search results.”.
Also there is the matter of the ridiculous disclaimer about the features being omitted in the side-by-side as if they aren't integral to the search experience, not to mention that seemingly all queries to Google appear to be originating from Seattle which degrades the quality of local queries by user located elsewhere.
On a related note I recommend reading the How to lie with statistics book, it's required reading especially when outlets copy/paste press releases: http://www.amazon.com/How-Lie-Statistics-Darrell-Huff/dp/039...