3D printing: The PC all over again?
economist.com
economist.com
I know they're expensive now - but lets assume they come down to ~$500 (price point where tablets took off).
It's like saying the greatest use case for computers is that you can program your own accounting program to do your own taxes. No. I went to the computer history museum, and they had a model of "easy to use" computer for moms in the kitchen. What was on the controls? Loading and unloading registers. They were completely off the mark on that one.
Chances are, it'll enable makers to offer services that have a real world component that other people can order easily, and enable new kinds of behavior.
But to the originally stated use case of fixing broken parts, I don't think that will happen as kids aren't usually running around fixing parts. And for the rest of us, only some of us have enough umph to learn how to 3D model. The vast majority need something easier to make the fixing broken parts scenario a reality.
However, I guess I can see a scenario where older people hire kids to fix parts, like how older people hired kids to do websites in the 90's.
The top to my blender is made of two materials, a very soft pliable plastic that is food safe and a ridget clear plastic for the handle.
These two very simple examples have at least three very different materials with very different properties.
It is going to be one very expensive printer that could work with lots of different materials. Even if it could be made cheaply, small batches of each material in custom colors and sizes would also be very expensive.
He tells me such printers that can do that definitely exist, but they're just too costly to bother with.
He's the kind of guy with a spare building out back full of broken things people give him. They collect for five months, and then in the span of one he realizes he's accumulated enough stuff to fix a few projects, and churns them out. It's funny how he'll have a hole in the wall of the building, a pontoon boat, and a car or two out there... And then a week later all the vehicles have been fixed, returned, and he's now got a new wall, paint job, refrigerator, and fan for his building.
They use small layers of metal particles fused with lasers.
At the cheap end of metal 3D printing, shapeways.com will make you stuff out of stainless steel at $8.00/cm^3. More b2b companies will provide more detailed mechanical info about their process and the results.
A site close to my hobby interests is http://rocketmoonlighting.blogspot.com , where this chap has printed a rocket engine, complete with internal regenerative cooling channels (where you keep the combustion chamber and nozzle cool by pumping the fuel in channels around it before it gets injected in the chamber). I think it's wonderful, and is a reason I'm excited by 3D printing. Also, being able to print Printed Circuit Boards, i.e. printing copper tracks onto a fibreglass substrate, would be a serious boon.
That being said, I have no idea what I'd do with a 3d printer.
We are still at Altair II level - where looking at a wooden box with switches on it makes Lolcats quite hard to imagine.
Just sail west.
Same with mobile phones. I remember when they came out in the 90's, the common use case cited was that when you walked by, starbucks would message you a coupon based on your location based services, or that you can leave location based messages for people to discover, like a cache-box. Turns out, people want to instagram, foursquare, and uber.
I think it is the same with a 3D printer. People often cite that you can replace parts around your home. Or other people might say it's only for makers and tinkerers. I don't think that'll be the main use case. It's so new that we can only make analogies of what we'd do with it. But in actuality, it would probably enable new kinds of behavior.
Not to mention that they were backwards compatible (and useful) even if not everyone had one - they were still able to call/be called from landline phones, albeit expensive.
- various "cool looking art pieces" including interesting looking costume jewelry.
- "action figures" without moving parts/transformation. Possibly for series that don't have licenced models, or fan models or just being cheap.
- Useful things without moving parts such as phone/tablet stands, photo frames, food holders, etc.
- individual moving parts- such as centrifuges, cogs, perhaps for some sort of rube goldberg machines
I think a lot of people are hoping both that the technology improves to allow more types of creations and that a successful market for printers will lead to a healthy blueprint market which will think up new innovative uses.
But I think the common theme is stuff that you would never find in a Target or Walmart, because the cost of production is high enough that people wouldn't have taken the risk to make wacky and wild things.
Just as with blogs and the democratization of online publishing or youtube with online videos, you get lots of wacky and wild blogs/videos (or as some would say, weird crap), but out of the weird crap are lots of gems. You'd never get Charlie bit my finger, Cat videos, etc greenlighted on HBO, and yet, Youtube has demonstrated those things entertains millions.
I think the same will happen with these objects. At first, there will be a lot of copying of things that we already know, like replacement parts, shower rings, art pieces. Things that traditional manufacturing is better at. But once we discover what 3D printing is really good at, we'll probably see objects for uses we've never seen before.
At the moment I'm guessing 3DPs are probably at 8088/DOS 1.0, so until we get to a point we have a box with a PC & commoditised "X", where "X" is 'cost | material | resolution | size | interface | network | software | foo'. 5-10 years?
Along those lines, 3D printers seem to be in the "mainframe" era. I.e., it'll bring down costs for commodities such as toys and cheap plastic parts (like mainframes brought down costs for accounting-like work), but they're years away off from changing up day-to-day life, even for nerds interested in them.
I didn't add making a business out of it, good point. I think the cost would be made back if you use the printer to produce custom packages for electronics like say Ninja Blocks (co-founder Marcus Schappi) http://www.kickstarter.com/projects/ninja/ninja-blocks-conne... or if you're an artist like Micah Ganske http://micahganske.com/index.html who wants total control to experiment, build then create limited edition builds.
For me, 3D printing represents a chance to build a synth panel of my absolute dreams. Not just knobs, but levers, dials, and so on. The recent revelation that Teenage Engineering were giving away the 3D models of their synth knob accessories was really interesting, to me at least.
So, there's that.
Also, I make model airplanes, RC stuff. I have a small list of about 12 things I want to be able to 3d print myself, instead of purchasing - engine mounts, aileron/rudder assemblies, custom frames for mounting a camera, and so on.
So I'm just waiting to get the space (and a bit more $$$) before I set up with a 3D printer in my workshop somewhere, and start making my own parts and things. In the meantime, a local hackershop provides access to this wonderful tech ..
Printing clothes would be one killer app for me (everyone needs them, they wear out, the design variety space is huge), but I don't see how you'd go from the current tech into something that can do clothes.
I suppose you could try to make the thing extrude the cloth already weaved in a closed loop, like doing a sock by extruding concentric woven circles and tapering them off to the tip. Then if you could split the circle into two or three you could try to do shirts and pants.
http://news.globalintimatewear.com/Mechanisms/7037/Shapeways...
So I don't like the hyperbole, gives folks too much ammo if it doesn't develop quickly. That said though, the same people who were building computers from kits are doing 3D printers, its fun to watch.
3D printing parallels computers in many ways, but it's important to see how it is different as well. Unlike computers, I currently can't see anything resembling Moore's law. In addition, it may have some version of the "Singer Problem". When sewing machines came out, you could have claimed that everyone would make their own clothes. But we don't. Why don't we?
Or when camcorders first came out in the early 80's, some people were enthused about being able to record their own shows, and talked about how it was going to disrupt traditional media. However, the missing piece they failed to take into account was that there was no method of distribution. It wasn't until Youtube came along that this vision came to be.
That said, I'm enthused about its possibilities. I've got a printer at home, and I've been exploring what it's good for, and so far, I'm optimistic.
Because making your own clothes still takes bloody ages and a lot of expertise. I've attempted to learn both 3D modeling and clothesmaking in the past, and IMO, 3D modeling was easier. And even a skilled amateur tailor takes a couple of days to make a dress or a suit-equivalent.
If 3D printing only makes Making as easy as tailoring, it's not going to get very far very fast. If it makes it as easy as assembling IKEA furniture, though, we're off to the races.
http://www.kickstarter.com/projects/formlabs/form-1-an-affor...
I have no connection whatsoever to the project besides being a 3D printing enthusiast.
Edit: apparently, photolithography has been applied to 3d printing. If the photolithography equipment is not expensive, this may be less of an issue.
http://www.repraper.com/goods.php?id=172
http://blog.reprap.org/search/label/Printing%20Conductors
http://blog.reprap.org/2012/04/some-more-printed-circuitry.h...
However, you're thinking too far ahead. The current home printers don't have the resolution to print circuits on the scale of a chip. You could probably do it, but the chip would be basic, and quite big and slow.
http://www.coolcomponents.co.uk/catalog/imodela-milling-mach...
Downside is that there's no solder resist, so SMT parts would be tricky/impossible to solder. Also the above model only handles tiny boards — something that can do a standard 160x100 mm eurocard would be nice.
Because people are lazy. I see farmers using these, I see clever immigrants and poor nations, sure.
But mainstream middle America? Probably not. How many people have a home lathe, mill, or drill press? Hell, how many even have basic power tools (circular saw, hand drill, jigsaw, and so on)?
How many people write code for the machines they own? The computer (despite how we may treat it even today) is hardly new technology, nor two decades later is the Internet.
I'm sorry to be such a downer, but I think that the vast consumerist masses will probably not ride a fleet of these gizmos into a post-scarcity future.
:(
I picked this item because it was featured in the Wired magazine article right after their "3D printers are the next PC" article.
2 questions:
1) Can an affordable 3D printer actually print a mug that's safe to drink out of? (Doesn't leech nasty chemicals into your coffee, doesn't melt and dump boiling tea on your genital area?)
2) Are there any 3D printers that can also paint the surface of what they print yet?
I'm disappointed, but I guess all the speculation about how the 3D printer will change our lives for the better has been covered by now.
http://www.makergear.com/blogs/frontpage/6591695-20-microns-...
https://davedurant.wordpress.com/2011/10/12/ultimaker-faq-bu...
In the second link, you can scroll down to see what 20 microns looks like up close. That orange thing on the left is his thumb. There's about 10 layers to one line on his thumbprint.
I got in on the kickstarter for the printrbot and got it at $500, they sell in the store at $550 now [1][2]. Though apparently only the woodcut versions.
They do however have the [3] Jr version that's only $399 but I have NO idea how well it works.
[1] https://printrbot.com/shop/printrbot-lc/ [2] https://printrbot.com/shop/printrbot/ [3] https://printrbot.com/shop/printrbot-jr/
Call it a failure of imagination on my part, but imagination can be stimulated by inspiration. I haven't seen anything remotely inspiring about home 3d printing so far.
However, if the right content was avaliable, I would be willing to spend up to $2500 on a 3d printer.
What is 'the right content'? At the moment, I don't know! 3D printing needs a 'Killer app'. I'm waiting for the 3D printing equivalent of VisiCalc...
But only when it can do metal.
Or at least much stronger/better surface finish plastic