Let's take this to the next level.
If the next Steve Jobs walks in the door of YCombinator or similar incubator tomorrow, could they identify they were looking at someone so different and unique that they are the next Steve Jobs? Or would they call security to escort this strange guy out?
When you judge someone, the best indicator that they can be successful is that they have past successes. Hence the criteria that all VCs, employers, and YC look at is skewed towards previous achievements. Ie. university, previous companies, current traction, etc. I doubt even a young Steve Jobs could have shit talked his way into a YC meeting without a prototype and traction.
Assuming there is another Jobs, he doesn't walk in the door he applies and gets his interview with Woz. I think they'd be funded, yes. I don't know that the YC panel would recognize them as being any bigger than any other good looking team of founders, though.
I think it's far more likely the NSJ will come from a country where nobody cares about incubators and startup buzzwords. China, Africa, Brazil or India... they have the immense populations and they're hungry.
And to the topic, I think no one can determine it but yourself.