https://www.theregister.com/2025/10/01/ai_isnt_taking_people...
> Yale researchers say that despite the anxiety about AI taking people's jobs, there's very little evidence of it actually happening. Economists with Yale's Budget Lab, a non-partisan policy research group, took a look at how US employment has changed since the November 2022 debut of ChatGPT and the sequent release of other generative AI models. They saw nothing to be alarmed about. "Overall, our metrics indicate that the broader labor market has not experienced a discernible disruption since ChatGPT’s release 33 months ago, undercutting fears that AI automation is currently eroding the demand for cognitive labor across the economy," said Martha Gimbel, Molly Kinder, Joshua Kendall, and Maddie Lee in a report summary.
Report: https://budgetlab.yale.edu/research/evaluating-impact-ai-lab...
> While AI systems have saturated many existing benchmarks, we find that state-of-the-art AI agents perform near the floor on RLI. The best-performing model achieves an automation rate of only 2.5%. This demonstrates that contemporary AI systems fail to complete the vast majority of projects at a quality level that would be accepted as commissioned work.
Corporate America posts best earnings in 4 years despite tariffs - https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=45859189 - November 2025
The only things preventing this from happening today is knowing the FBI can do their job fairly well. Reasonable people don't want to sit in cage for doing what must be done.