In LLMs, we will have bigger weights vs test-time compute tradeoffs. A smaller model can get "there" but it will take longer.
In LLMs, we will have bigger weights vs test-time compute tradeoffs. A smaller model can get "there" but it will take longer.
I wish this was true.
It isn't.
"In algorithms, we have space vs time tradeoffs, therefore a small LLM can get there with more time" is the same sort of "not even wrong" we all smile about us HNers doing when we try applying SWE-thought to subjects that aren't CS.
What you're suggesting amounts to "monkeys on typewriters will write entire works of Shakespeare eventually" - neither in practice, nor in theory, is this a technical claim, or something observable, or even stood up as a one-off misleading demo once.
To answer you directly, a smaller SOTA reasoning model with a table of facts can rederive relationships given more time than a bigger model which encoded those relationships implicitly.
Assuming both are SOTA, a smaller model can't produce the same results as a larger model by giving it infinite time. Larger models inherently have more room for training more information into the model.
No amount of test-retry cycle can overcome all of those limits. The smaller models will just go in circles.
I even get the larger hosted models stuck chasing their own tail and going in circles all the time.
And you don't necessarily need to train all information into the model, you can also use tool calls to inject it into the context. A small model that can make lots of tool calls and process the resulting large context could obtain the same answer that a larger model would pull directly out of its weights.
That's speculative at this point. In the context of agents with external memory, this isn't so clear.
There is obviously also some amount (maybe a lot) of core knowledge and capability needed even to be able to ask the right questions and utilize the answers.