OpenAI and Anthropic are signing large deals with Google and Amazon for compute resources, but ultimately it means that Google and Amazon will own a ton of compute. Is OpenAI paying Amazon's cap ex just so Amazon can invest and end up owning what OpenAI needs over the long term?
For those paying Google, are they giving Google the money Google needs to further invest in their TPUs giving them a huge advantage?
Google is a viable competitor here.
Everyone else is missing part of the puzzle. They theoretically could compete but they're behind with no obvious way of catching up.
Amazon specifically is in a position similar to where they were with mobile. They put out a competing phone but with no clear advantage it flopped. They could put out their own LLM but they're late. They'd have to put out a product that is better enough to overcome consumer inertia. They have no real edge or advantage over OpenAI/Google to make that happen.
Theoretically they could back a competitor like Anthropic but what's the point? They look like an also ran these days and ultimately who wins doesn't affect Amazon's core businesses.
While I can see Anthropic or any other leading on API usage, it is unlikely that Anthropic leads in terms of raw consumer usage as Microsoft has the Office AI integration market locked down
Every image/video/text post on a meta app is essentially subsidized by oai/gemini/anthropic as they are all losing money on inference. Meta is getting more engagement and ad sales through these subsidized genai image content posts.
Long term they need to catch up and training/inference costs need to drop enough such that each genai post costs less than net profit on the ads but they’re in a great position to bridge the gap.
The end of all of this is ad sales. Google and Meta are still the leaders of this. OpenAI needs a social engagement platform or it is only going to take a slice of Google.
Do you have any sources backing this? As in "more engagement and ad sales" relative to what they would get with no genai content