Dang, so we don't even know why it's not deterministic, or how to make it so? That's quite surprising! So if I'm reading this right, it doesn't just have to do with LLM providers cutting costs or making changes or whatever. You can't even get determinism locally. That's wild.
But I did read something just the other day about LLMs being invertible. It goes over my head but it sounds like they got a pretty reliable mapping from inputs to outputs, at least?
https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=45758093
> Transformer components such as non-linear activations and normalization are inherently non-injective, suggesting that different inputs could map to the same output and prevent exact recovery of the input from a model's representations. In this paper, we challenge this view. First, we prove mathematically that transformer language models mapping discrete input sequences to their corresponding sequence of continuous representations are injective and therefore lossless, a property established at initialization and preserved during training. Second, we confirm this result empirically through billions of collision tests on six state-of-the-art language models, and observe no collisions.
The distinction here appears to be between the output tokens versus some sort of internal state?
While this affects all models it seems, I think the case gets worse for in particular LLMs because I would imagine all backends, including proprietary ones, are batching users prompts. Other concurrent requests seem to change the output of your request, and then if there is even a one token change to the input or output token, especially on large inputs or outputs, the divergence can compound. Also vLLM's documentation mentions this: https://docs.vllm.ai/en/latest/usage/faq.html
So how does one do benchmarking of AI/ML models and LLMs reliably (lets ignore arguing over the flaws of the metrics themselves, and just the fact that the output for any particular input can diverge given the above). You'd also want to redo evals as soon as any hardware or software stack changes are made to the production environment.
Seems like one needs to setup a highly deterministic backend, by forcing non-deterministic behavior in pytorch and using a backend which doesn't do batching for an initial eval that would allow for troubleshooting and non-variation in output to get a better sense of how consistent the model without the noise of batching and non-deterministic GPU calculations/kernels etc.
However then, for production, when determinism isn't guaranteed because you'd need batching and non-determism for performance, I would think that one would want to do multiple runs in various real-world situations (such as multiple users doing all sorts of different queries at the same time) and do some sort of averaging of the results. But I'm not entirely sure, because I would imagine the types of queries other users are making would then change the results fairly significantly. I'm not sure how much the batching that vLLM does would change the results of the output; but vLLM does say that batching does influence changes in the outputs.
The best writing I've seen about this is from Hamel Husain - https://hamel.dev/blog/posts/llm-judge/ and https://hamel.dev/blog/posts/evals-faq/ are both excellent.