I don't think there’s any serious evidence of it being true though. All we can see right now is that there are a surprising number of MIT-licensed packages replacing GPL-licensed packages. It could be a coincidence.
We sigh in relief every time we see a software that we rely upon changes/adds non-viral license such as MIT, Apache, MPL, BSD, and so on.
This is gonna cause a lot of disappointment down the road.
In the end, a lot of people are willing to write open source just for the sake of having it as it scratches their own need and isn't otherwise monetizable or they just think it should exist. I would never even consider touching a GPLv3 licensed UI library component, for example.
It's not always the most appropriate license and if a developer wants to use a permissive license, they are allowed to. This isn't an authoritarian, communist dictatorship, at least it isn't where I live and to my dying breath won't be.
Choosing licenses due to peer pressure is completely stupid though. If you're not sure, you can just not pick a license at all. Copyright 2025 all rights reserved. If you must pick a license just because, then the reasonable choice is the strongest copyleft license available, simply because it maximizes leverage. The less you give away, the more conditions, the more leverage. It's that simple.
That people are actually feeling "pressure" to pick permissive licenses leads me to conclude this is a psyop. It's a wealth transfer, from well meaning developers straight into the pockets of corporations. It's being actively normalized so that people choose it "by default" without thinking. Yeah, just give it all away! Who cares, right?
I urge people to think about what they are doing.
So the ONLY reasonable choice for me is to release my code with a non-viral license. A copyleft license is TOTALLY UNREASONABLE for me because it limits the reach of my software.
(My license of choice is MPL-2.0)
The problem is that people choose permissive licenses to be "nice" when the truth is they have tons of unwritten rules and hidden assumptions. Magical thinking like "if I publish this open source software then it will come back to me in some way, maybe a job, maybe a sponsorship." No such deal exists. Then they wake up one day with corporations making billions off of their software while they're not making even one cent, and they suddenly have a very public meltdown where they bitterly regret their decisions. I've seen it happen, even with copyleft licenses.
If I'm writing something I intend or might intend to monetize later or otherwise don't want to have privatized, I'll probably reach for GPLv3, AGPL or a different license. The less "whole" a thing is, the more likely I'm going to use a more permissive license than not. Libraries or snippets of code are almost always going to be permissive at least from me. This includes relatively simple CLI utils.