Ask HN: How Can I Learn to Analyze Sports Statistics and Calculate Odds?

I'm really interested in understanding how statistics and probability theory apply to sports, particularly in calculating odds (like in betting markets or predictive modeling). I'm not looking to gamble, I'm more interested in the math, models, and real-world data challenges behind it.

Where would be a good place to start for someone with a general understanding of math and some programming experience? Are there open datasets, books, blogs, or academic papers that you'd recommend? I'm also curious how professionals in this space (like sports analysts or data scientists) approach modeling player/team performance and factoring in uncertainty.

If you work in this area or have dabbled in it as a hobby, I’d love to hear how you got started.