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Comment by g42gregory | Hacker News Reader

Are we still getting AGI in 2026, per OpenAI?

Based on AGI 2026, they convinced US Government to block high-end GPU sales to China. They said, we only needed 1-2 more years to hold them off. Then AGI and OpenAI/US rules the world. Is this still the plan? /s

If AGI does not materialize in 2026, I think there might be trouble, as China develops alternative GPUs and NVIDIA loses that market.

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Altman says in a few years Chat GPT 8 will solve quantum physics

I mean, I'll take it if it comes true.

insert Rick & Morty "Show me what you got" gif here

"Solve quantum physics" meaning generating closed-form solutions to the Schrodinger equation for atoms of any composition? Of arbitrary molecules? Good luck with that... Even for the hydrogen atom, the textbook said "so it happens that <some polynomial function I'd never heard of before> just so happens to solve this equation", instead of the derivations one would normally expect. I doubt we have even invented the math to solve the equations much above the hydrogen atom, assuming that a closed-form solution is even theoretically possible.

I think Altman has been getting mentored by Musk. I think we'll get full self-driving Teslas before quantum mechanics is "solved", though, and I am not expecting that in the foreseeable future.

My mistake, he did not say solve quantum physics.

He did say if Chat GTP 8 creates a theory of quantum gravity... I can't... that will mean we have reached AGI.

https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=TMoz3gSXBcY

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